this post was submitted on 11 Nov 2024
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Honestly, this is a no-brainer from Taiwan's POV. The second our economies can get by without Taiwan is the second various governments start questioning whether it's worth it to ally with them, especially with China trying to undermine Taiwan and anybody who supports them all they can.
In a bizarre way, semiconductor manufacturing for Taiwan has become like nuclear weapons are for other countries.
They've made themselves effectively uninvadable because doing so would be an absolute catastrophe for everyone else, including the aggressor.
It's shocking how much it lines up with MAD doctrine, yet in a completely non-lethal way.
I want advanced semiconductor manufacturing to be less centralised, but Taiwan would be foolish to give up this leverage and security.
The natural alliance of any Asian country is with Chinese trade. Especially in tech, where Chinese market is 5x that of US, and Asian market larger than the hegemon colonial universe. Sure, countries want independence, but prosperity comes from peace and trade. The US has to spend a lot to "shit disturb" the region.
The best part of global trade is peace it provides. There is a limit to how aggressive the US can be to China, including its Taiwan proxy, before the US and Taiwan become useless to rest of world. But keeping tech out of China is like the drug trade. There exists a nominally respectful of US country willing to turn a blind eye to smuggling/cut outs, and US is forced to buy nominal respect. China also is heavily investing into a delete America program that will eventually achieve success/parity with Taiwan, and with Huawei, seems ahead of schedule.
Oh look, a tankie.
Sorry, I don't subscribe to your misguided arsekissing of China – a genocidal dictatorship that openly wants to invade Taiwan.
Same goes for Russia who you also seem to be fond of.