this post was submitted on 13 Nov 2024
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[–] db2@lemmy.world 61 points 1 week ago (6 children)

It’s “grand political theater at its worst,” the source told The Post. “They could have asked his lawyer for any of these things. Instead, they staged a so-called raid so they can leak it to the media and use it for obvious political reasons.”

Coplan was not provided any reason for the incident, but the source said they expect it is political retribution since Polymarket accurately predicted Trump’s win – not traditional polls.

The government is likely trying to accuse Polymarket of market manipulation and rigging its polls in favor of Trump, the source said.

Right, because everyone's out to get the goofball nobody's ever heard of. 🙄 Traditional polls? The fuck's that even supposed to mean? And "rigging its polls in favor of Trump" as if some fringe betting site would have had any impact whatsoever on actual election polls?

If this is even real, and if they "predicted" the outcome accurately then they're not being picked on, they're being investigated to find out if there was some chicanery going on in the real polls that this douchecanoe found out about and exploited. Which would be illegal af from multiple angles.

[–] wildbus8979@sh.itjust.works 6 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

I mean the betting odds for presidential elections are crazy accurate. This isn't poker, being good at statistics isn't illegal.

https://electionbettingodds.com/TrackRecord.html

[–] Madison420@lemmy.world 2 points 6 days ago

The CIA and NSA always have bets running on what will happen, it's a very accurate way to estimate actual outcome.

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