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- !gaming@Lemmy.world: Our sister community, focused on PC and console gaming. Meme are allowed.
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I get what you are saying, but the distinguishing characteristic of the new AI, over the past computer programs, is that it learns, and improves. Years ago, people used to laugh at me for supporting solar, because it was so inefficient. I just said the research will improve it, and today solar is an extremely popular, affordable, and growing option, especially with Trump's war profiteering.
Apparently in the AI world, they are expecting it's capabilities to double every 7 months. I saw a list of steps, with the industries that will be impacted with each step, and as each step doubles, it impacts bigger and bigger industries.
It's learning the basics right now, but humans are training the AI to the point that it will replace them, then the next level of humans will train the next level until replaces them, then move on to the next level to be trained.
In a few years, well all be replaced, except a lucky few who do the maintenance, but those jobs won't pay much, because if you won't do it for that pay scale, get out of the way, there are a LOT of unemployed people who will accept it.
If you're thinking of the list that I'm thinking of: that is completely unfounded. They started with the premise "AI will be perfect in 2 years" and then drew a graph that looked good-ish. There is no scientific value to it.
Valid, but no matter what the timeline, it's going to improve over time, and companies are already committed to it, so they'll be prioritizing continuing R&D until it does what they want it to.
It's coming whether we like it or not, and it's going to be a bloodbath no matter what the final scenario is. Either the workers take the hit, or the companies do, and if the companies do, then the workers will take the hit anyway.
The workers are screwed no matter what.
Counterpoint: LLMs are a dead-end for AGI. And outsourcing tasks to a "sometimes correct, but very often wrong" bot starts looking like a not-so-good idea once you actually need to pay for the compute.
Valid, but that's part of what I mean. If it finally works the way they want it to, welcome to a 75+% permanent unemployment rate, and the worker is screwed. But if it doesn't work, the bubble pops, and the entire economy crashes, and the workers is screwed.
We're screwed.