this post was submitted on 14 Dec 2023
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fwiw, XMPP/Slack/Discord/etc basically solve the same problem that IRC already solved. Software Engineers just reinvent the wheel again and again as everyone loves a green field.
That said, Meta cannot be trusted. They're going to do a year or two of embrace and extend, pretending to be good citizens. Then they will invent some crisis that causes them to want to de-federate, likely that content on other servers is not moderated to their standards or that convoluted features of their extended protocol are not being met. This take seems pretty spot on to me.
Easy to predict.
Zucc-bot saw titties on Lemmy, something something think about the children outrage. "Better follow our advertisers happy friendship rules or we defederate and all your users will miss there normie friends. Not our rules, bro."
I mean, that would be the initial fear, but I'm not sure how that would matter. Threads can defederate from Lemmy.nsfw but lemmy.world can still federate both.
Maybe I dont understand something
I don't see this as a genuine, good faith move from Meta. We're potential future competition to them. They can't buy us so I think there going to try to shit up the pace over years and hope we come groveling back. It's a make or break moment for the protocol against a titan.
They absolutely CAN buy you though, they can buy individual instance owners. Maybe not the Lynch pins like .World but many others and cheaply.
It'll quickly turn into shit storm, and the average casual use will give up and go back to Reddit or move to Threads, which is what they want
I don't think they fear the two hundred thousand people using fediverse compared to their hundreds of millions to billions of users.
We're as much competition to them as a food truck is a threat to taco bell.