I built my 10ish TB (usable after raidz2) system in 2015. I did some drive swaps but I think it might have actually been a shoddy power cable that was the problem and the disks may have been fine.
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I've had my Synology DS215 for almost ten years. I've recently thought about replacing it, but I don't really see the benefit. I'll just replace the drives some time.
I had a DS212j for about 10 years before I replaced it, and it was working just fine, so I sold it on ebay. It just couldn't keep up with the transcoding plex that I was using it for. Heck, 7 of those years it was running on a shelf in my garage getting covered in dust, and spiderwebs.
I imagine a + model will last even longer than that.
Had my Western Digital My Cloud since 2015.
my longest running drive is a WD. probably the same vintage with less uptime.
Ah, I see you also choke yours with softwarr...
I have the same model as you and I also wonder when it will explode lol (mostly because I have it in my ROM and can hear when it is struggling).
I have it with lots of docker containers (I can't help it, it is my only server) and the drives never cease to spin.
I actually don't recall since when I have it but it must be similar as you as well...
Just as of recently started to do clean up of containers and such, mostly because I did a fuck up (I deleted with Portainer all my unused volumes which, strangely enough for me, got rid of Portainer's volume, I needed to recreate all my stacks/compose from portainer each one, so I cleaned up some stuff in the process).
It'll last long as it's useful to you barring any disasters. I've got a HP gen8 microserver that I've been running as a free/truenas box 8/9 years now and I'm only thinking of replacing it now as I need more performance than the CPU in it can give.
At least 5 minutes.
shucked
oh you are dancing with the devil. not sure there's a way to check actual SMART data in Synology's OS but I would be very interested in those logs.
I've found over the years that the second I think about backing up the drive is about to fail.
I would update to a 4bay and invest in actual NAS drives. (and I will personally be looking for 10gbe lan but this isn't homelab)