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this post was submitted on 15 Sep 2025
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No.
By itself, apt will give you headaches.
Debian migrated to new paths for security non-free firmware in repositories from 11 to 12, and apt goes to v3 in 12 to 13, which changes the format of sources. There is a new apt modernize-sources command, but it assumes your paths are correct.
If you know what you're doing, you can do this by correcting the repo paths and do the without-new-packages upgrade, but be prepared to fix apt.
If you're a casual user, maybe stick with 11>12>13.
I know what I'm doing but looking at every comment here, it's not a wise thing to do it seems. So casual or not 11 > 12 > 13 is the proper and most likely still the easiest way. It's a good thing that I asked before doing some potentially mad thing.
Honestly, there were so many fundamental changes in the 13 upgrade for certain packages that I had to fix on a couple of machines that I'd be hesitant to try no-scoping the 11 > 13 upgrade.
I flew by the seat of my pants and managed to pull off 10 directly to 12, but I wouldn't do it for this one.
Well, if there are issues like even in normal upgrade, it's better not to jump on a thing like this.
Still, it's good to know that this is technically possible, though it's not for a lazy person who just wants to update his server. Gotta check Debian changelog.
I did it by accident last week on a long running VM. It was rough because I also had the official docker repo as a source. I was stuck in a partial state for a while and only a lot of googling helped. Only recommended if you're bored.
Oh, partial upgrade is the worst. Technically it's still supported until next year as oldoldstable so it should be fine to directly upgrade if you ask me but I understand the changes affect many things and upgrade process actually check things from the previous version, so if one upgrade directly it might go bad. That's probably why Arch Linux can get borked if you haven't updated for a long time.