this post was submitted on 02 Jun 2024
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I've said before and I'll say again, AI tools as we have them are a really good tool, for someone who knows what the tool needs to get done.
This isn't gonna replace work, it's going to change what work looks like, from having to know how to do the thing yourself to having to be able to clearly describe the thing you want done.
The peak of irony, this STEM development just made writing and literature classes a VITAL part of the average student's future working skills compared to how they were viewed before.
The hardest workers are probably also gonna wind up being damn fine reporters/poets/creative writers just as a happenstance of what skills they have to develop just to be good at their prompt engineering.
People are already losing their jobs... This is simply domonstrably false.
I think maybe you're focusing on a specific topic, rather than the broader one. For example, AI is still not great at technical troubleshooting... Though, honestly, it's getting better at an alarming rate.
Yeah. AI can definitely reduce development costs by handling a lot of the easy busy work for developers.
You underestimate the rate of technological advancement. “As we have them” is fleeting. Any well programmed AI will be better tomorrow than it was yesterday provided it has been utilized.
Unless you figured out how to escape binary computing, tomorrow, for everyone, it is really not gonna be the way you think it is.
The limitations I'm describing come from the very nature of how we practice computer science and engineering, you cannot derive a creative intelligence that thinks like a human from binary computing, just like how there are mass computations a human could never dream of performing in a timely manner the way even basic computers are capable of today.
Unless someone cracks the code to scalable quantum computing tomorrow, the closest current AI tech will ever come to being a replacement for human intelligence will be as a "Third Hemisphere" brain implant designed to unite Human Creativity with Silicon Mass Data Processing. Which, again, doesn't replace the human, it just moves the position of the tool they use to still be the one doing the work ultimately.
I’m not suggesting it will replace humans in likeness. I was wrong to say you underestimate AI’s potential. You overestimate the amount of interpersonal skill needed in many jobs. AI’s potential lies in replacing a large swath of industrial and logistics positions when utilized in specialized robotics. The logistics projects that are less than a year old are already meeting or exceeding expectations. As the technology advances, implementation costs come down, and more jobs will be lost.
I’m not against the technology. I just think we should be realistic about its ability to change the labor market, especially with wealthy corporations flooding the field with investments.