this post was submitted on 14 Jul 2024
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People joke about the shooter "missing", but at a few hundred feet away, a 2" miss is clearly within the influence of wind.
Trump got extremely lucky. I don't think this was the result of a poor shot.
He fired 8 shots. It was poor shooting.
i thought it was 2 or 3 and the rest of the shots heard are the secret service snipers
Yes. 23 hours ago the news reported 8 shots. Now they're reporting 2-4.
And somehow everyone missed, unbelievable!
Most people using an AR buy cheapo 115 grain FMJ to shoot from their $600 AR. Cheap ammo from a cheap AR will group at 5-6 inches shooting with a bipod from a bench with a minute between shots with no wind at that range.
Throw in wind, stress, sub-optimal support, and rapid fire and it's a very difficult shot.
Which is good and bad. Good in that assassinations should fail. Bad in that it means this asshole was shooting up a crowd.
Are you grouping that at 100 yards? Because I think your barrel is screwed up if that's true. 2-3 inches on a mass market AR is common from a controlled setup. Of course most people are not as accurate as their gun so if they're shooting then yeah it can be wild.
He was shooting closer to 200 yards I thought.
My main AR groups better. I've got a higher-end AR with a .223 Wylde 1:7 barrel and when I shoot SMKs through it it'll group a ragged hole. But that's not the setup most people are buying and shooting.
But my gun is triple the cost of a standard AR-15, and the glass on top is even more expensive.
400ft, 120M, 130Y.
And yeah that's the thing. What a modern gun can do locked into a bench is going to be way better than what most shooters can do.
What's that? I don't think Trump can 'ear you.
Too soon?
Not soon enough.
I mean I think I'd say it was more the result of poor preparation than anything. I think most places are saying he had like, 3 shots or somewhere around there, and apparently his rifle had no optic on it at all, which is kind of an insane idea at that distance. Which I think also maybe lends credence to the idea that this was just some impulse decision rather than a prepared kind of thing. I don't think it's that hard of a shot to make in general, even given the single opportunity that you're going to be working with, I've hit soda cans with .22s at similar ranges. You barely have to take into account windage or holdover and I haven't seen any evidence of heavy wind on the day of, really.
So, I dunno, I think it's probably just an idiot kid killing himself in like, some elaborate suicide by cop or something. or just a dumb groyper, jury's still out.