this post was submitted on 19 Sep 2024
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They feel like there is less crime, because they have bought into security theater.
Ironically security theater can have a a placebo effect on crime rates as well. It turns out that the likelihood that someone commits a crime is strongly correlated to the chance they believe they will get caught, not the actual chance of getting caught. That’s why fake security cameras are so effective.
"It is not the severity of punishment that deters crime, but the certainty of punishment."
Bullocks. You could make the crime for stealing death and execute everyone who does. There would still be stealing.
Simply put most criminals don't think about consequences.
I think you may have misread their comment.
Not at all. There is a wealth of research about this topic.
Ensuring severity and certainty of punishment will not stop crime. It may affect some rational actors decisions but most criminals are not rational.