this post was submitted on 19 Oct 2024
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cross-posted from: https://lemm.ee/post/45237868

“He’s doing a good job,” Trump saidabout the Israeli leader. “Biden is trying to hold him back, just so you understand, Biden is more superior to the VP. He’s trying to hold him back, and he probably should be doing the opposite, actually. I’m glad that Netanyahu decided to do what he had to do, but it’s moving along pretty good.”

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[–] atzanteol@sh.itjust.works 5 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Utter bullshit. The polling companies are often separate from the media companies. Some are even academic institutions. And they are incentivised to be accurate. Imagine being the one polling organisation that can call elections!

What y'all are misunderstanding, however, is the difference between poll numbers and probability of winning. Harris definitely polls better but due to the electoral college the probability that she wins in lower than poll numbers suggests.

[–] Viking_Hippie@lemmy.world 0 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Utter bullshit

Thanks for the summation of your reply. Headlines are usually bolded and in bigger type than the body text, though..

The polling companies are often separate from the media companies. Some are even academic institutions

And there sre hundreds if not thousands from which to choose. The media choose the ones that best fit the narrative they've already written.

And they are incentivised to be accurate

Nope. They are incentivized to deliver the results that their customers want, regardless of accuracy.

Imagine being the one polling organisation that can call elections!

Even if doing so consistently was possible (which it isn't), that wouldn't be the most profitable thing to do. See above on incentive.

What y'all are misunderstanding, however, is the difference between poll numbers and probability of winning

Nope, I understand full well the difference between the popular vote, which is what's polled, and the electoral vote which is a big part of the aforementioned system being broken in favor of the American Fascist Party AKA the GOP.

[–] atzanteol@sh.itjust.works 3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

What a garbage response. "There is a profit motive, checkmate" is all you've said.

[–] Viking_Hippie@lemmy.world -5 points 1 month ago

What a garbage response

This you?

"There is a profit motive, checkmate" is all you've said.

You either have the reading comprehension of a toddler or the capacity to argue in good faith of Ben Shapiro. Either way, I'm done indulging you. Have the day you deserve.