„Apples new fee might kill free apps in the EU that get downloaded more then one million times a year and want to be distributed via alternative app stores“ just doesn’t have the same ring to it I guess.
Realistically this will only really hit stuff like Netflix Games when they want to try to make their own store or something similar.
To further add you would have to have more then one million downloads per year and also not fall under "Nonprofit organizations, accredited educational institutions, and government entities".