this post was submitted on 23 May 2025
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With more automation wouldn't it possibly cost less than this? On Taiwan the balance between automation and human labor is due to their costs of labor and automation.
In any case more expensive than on Taiwan, though.
If US cost of labor drops sharply due to a few bubbles exploding, or a few nukes explode somewhere causing harm to world economy, then having such plants already in place might be retrospectively considered a wise decision.
Consumer hardware is now being used in wars on scale, changing all balances. So I think everybody is going to do what Trump is doing. Keep complex processes inside if they have the knowledge and ability, and try to gain knowledge and ability if they don't.
I don't think it's bad. Socialists will finally see a situation which their ideology fits best. Industrial specialties, even worker-level ones, teach people to think in a way making idiotic websites in some modern framework doesn't.
All that, of course, is sometime after the hellish hell we're going to see making us work to achieve it.
Volume matters for automation. Us made market would be only for us. 15 to 20% of cell market. Less by volume.
India afaik only assembles. Its the components that are highly automated.
25% tariffs on all phones in us because all are made outside of us, is just a sales tax on a modern necessity. Will still be hard to invest on us manufacturing or assembly
Well. Imagine we're talking 1920s, Trotsky, plants and steamers and autarky.
In this paradigm having plants able to assemble something is necessary. Even if on dotations.
Because you need plants that can be repurposed to, I dunno, assemble lots of FPV drones or something.
Also iPhones and such are too complex, but something useful they might be able to produce in the USA.