this post was submitted on 23 May 2025
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A 2025 Tesla Model 3 in Full-Self Driving mode drives off of a rural road, clips a tree, loses a tire, flips over, and comes to rest on its roof. Luckily, the driver is alive and well, able to post about it on social media.

I just don't see how this technology could possibly be ready to power an autonomous taxi service by the end of next week.

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[–] ayyy@sh.itjust.works 8 points 20 hours ago (4 children)

To put your number into perspective, if it only failed 1 time in every hundred miles, it would kill you multiple times a week with the average commute distance.

[–] Buffalox@lemmy.world 3 points 6 hours ago

Many Tesla owners are definitely dead many times, on the inside.

[–] NikkiDimes@lemmy.world 2 points 15 hours ago

..It absolutely fails miserably fairly often and would likely crash that frequently without human intervention, though. Not to the extent here, where there isn't even time for human intervention, but I frequently had to take over when I used to use it (post v13)

[–] KayLeadfoot@fedia.io 5 points 19 hours ago (2 children)

Someone who doesn't understand math downvoted you. This is the right framework to understand autonomy, the failure rate needs to be astonishingly low for the product to have any non-negative value. So far, Tesla has not demonstrated non-negative value in a credible way.

[–] bluewing@lemm.ee -2 points 4 hours ago* (last edited 4 hours ago) (1 children)

You are trying to judge the self driving feature in a vacuum. And you can't do that. You need to compare it to any alternatives. And for automotive travel, the alternative to FSD is to continue to have everyone drive manually. Turns out, most clowns doing that are statistically worse at it than even FSD, (as bad as it is). So, FSD doesn't need to be perfect-- it just needs to be a bit better than what the average driver can do driving manually. And the last time I saw anything about that, FSD was that "bit better" than you statistically.

FSD isn't perfect. No such system will ever be perfect. But, the goal isn't perfect, it just needs to be better than you.

[–] echodot@feddit.uk 2 points 2 hours ago

FSD isn't perfect. No such system will ever be perfect. But, the goal isn't perfect, it just needs to be better than you.

Yeah people keep bringing that up as a counter arguement but I'm pretty certain humans don't swerve off a perfectly straight road into a tree all that often.

So unless you have numbers to suggest that humans are less safe than FSD then you're being equally obtuse.

[–] FreedomAdvocate@lemmy.net.au -4 points 8 hours ago

What is the failure rate? Unless you know that you can’t make that claim.

[–] echodot@feddit.uk 1 points 19 hours ago

Even with the distances I drive and I barely drive my car anywhere since covid, I'd probably only last about a month before the damn thing killed me.

Even ignoring fatalities and injuries, I would still have to deal with the fact that my car randomly wrecked itself, which has to be a financial headache.