this post was submitted on 31 Jul 2025
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Yes. For a non space-tier power. Their utility for space/LEO comms are valuable, but peripheral. Never going fully high tech, keeps the legacy systems in use and in current practice. Whereas a power like the US doesn’t do shit without a LINK net established and maintained, because we’ve forgotten/are unwilling to use the old methods.
It’s the Ukraine-Russo problem in the Black Sea, but applied to space. Denial is easier than presence, and even easier than dominance. If you can’t compete, why let them use it they way they want, or at all?
I am still not convinced because you are missing the political implications: Blocking LEO for your opponent means blocking it for everyone, friend or foe alike.
Unless we are talking about an all out two sided world war with no neutral parties blocking space is out of the question. It's the same reason we don't see nations using nuclear weapons: Their use would cause world wide condemnation and at best sanctions against you, at worst more enemy combatants.
With the right mergers and acquisition this LEO Scorched Space can scale up enough to be a militarily viable. We just hit the snooze button on space for the next 500 years, that should give us the time to "address" the problem of the coninued existence of mass CO² emitters and their supply chains
But China IS a space-tier power...