this post was submitted on 04 Sep 2025
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We'll almost certainly get to AGI eventually, but not through LLMs. I think any AI researcher could tell you this, but they can't tell the investors this.
What if we're not smart enough to build something like that?
Possible, but seems unlikely.
Evolution managed it, and evolution isn’t as smart as us, it’s just got many many chances to guess right.
If we can’t figure it out we can find a way to get lucky like evolution did, it’ll be expensive and maybe needs us to get a more efficient computing platform (cheap brain-scale computers so we can make millions of attempts quickly).
So yeah. My money is that we’ll figure it out sooner or later.
Whether we’ll be smart enough to make it do what we want and not turn us all into paperclips or something is another question.
Oh jeez, please don't say "cheap brain-scale computers" next to "AGI" like that. There are capitalists everywhere.`