this post was submitted on 07 Aug 2025
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[–] bitjunkie@lemmy.world 49 points 22 hours ago (2 children)

Technology grows exponentially. What doesn't add up is OOP's brainpower.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world 29 points 20 hours ago (2 children)

Technology grows exponentially.

There's a compounding effect to advances in different fields. But I would posit it's not exponential, but sigmoid.

Early in the study of a scientific field, discoveries are slow and difficult. But as the benefits of research are industrialized, you see a critical mass of research and human labor invested in applied sciences. You see a surge in development up until you hit a point of diminishing returns. Then the benefits of research diminish and the cost of maintaining the libraries of information and education grow beyond the perceived benefit of further academic work. Investments slow and labor product diminishes over time. Existing infrastructure cements itself as the norm and improvements become more expensive to impose. Finally, the advances in technology plateau for a period of time.

Eventually, you hit on another breakthrough and there's a new surge in investment and novel infrastructure, until that well of new useful information is exhausted.

Periods of rapid and transformative growth may look meager and unimpressive in hindsight simply because you are standing on the shoulders of giants. But can anyone seriously argue that the steam engine (17th century) was less significant than the nuclear power plant (20th century), when a nuclear power plant has - at its core - a very high efficiency steam engine? We don't seem to recognize 300 years of internal combustion as a period of relative technological stagnation.

[–] absGeekNZ@lemmy.nz 4 points 12 hours ago (1 children)

While that may be true for individual technologies; in aggregate across all technologies.

Technical growth seems exponential; maybe sometime in the future technical advancement itself will resemble the 'S' curve; but for now we are still growing our technical prowess extremely quickly.

[–] DigitalAudio@sopuli.xyz 4 points 11 hours ago (1 children)

It may also be correlated with the population, though. Specifically the working age population.

I imagine that, as populations decrease and you have fewer people available to actually do any research, technological advancement also stagnates and slows down. If populations ever start increasing again in the future, then I imagine technological development will grow as well

[–] bitjunkie@lemmy.world 3 points 11 hours ago

It's almost as though we shouldn't have made killbots 🤔

[–] sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works 11 points 20 hours ago

Yup, it turns out it's a lot easier to build on something than create something from scratch.

[–] joyjoy@lemmy.zip 15 points 22 hours ago

Anon (plural) isn't exactly famous for their intelligence