this post was submitted on 03 Feb 2026
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[–] RedWeasel@lemmy.world 34 points 13 hours ago* (last edited 13 hours ago) (2 children)

So, around 1947. Took about 14 years to get to being able to put into chips. So another decade and a half?

Edit: and another 15 to 25 years after that for it to be in consumer households?

[–] photonic_sorcerer@lemmy.dbzer0.com 24 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

From the byline:

Quantum tech is at its transistor moment—promising, real, and powerful, but still years of hard work away from changing the world

So pretty much, yeah.

[–] Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works 2 points 12 hours ago

Well years could be 3 years or 300 years so that doesn't really confirm OP's guess.

[–] funkajunk@lemmy.world 8 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

Seeing as we now have a multitude of tools available to us that we didn't have in 1947, I imagine it would be faster.

[–] Gsus4@mander.xyz 3 points 12 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago)

And an already existing consumer base with expectations that were only for hobbyists before...maybe that's a bad thing, because it will constrain QC to evolve in ways that it would be better to explore rather than try to fit modern use cases (or worse: MBA-driven hype)