this post was submitted on 03 Feb 2026
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So, around 1947. Took about 14 years to get to being able to put into chips. So another decade and a half?
Edit: and another 15 to 25 years after that for it to be in consumer households?
From the byline:
So pretty much, yeah.
Well years could be 3 years or 300 years so that doesn't really confirm OP's guess.
Seeing as we now have a multitude of tools available to us that we didn't have in 1947, I imagine it would be faster.
And an already existing consumer base with expectations that were only for hobbyists before...maybe that's a bad thing, because it will constrain QC to evolve in ways that it would be better to explore rather than try to fit modern use cases (or worse: MBA-driven hype)