this post was submitted on 28 Mar 2026
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[–] IratePirate@feddit.org 8 points 4 hours ago (3 children)

AI can [...] be completely wrong. But that happens maybe 10% of the time.

Where are you pulling your numbers from, mate? The figures I've seen so far start somewhere >40% and go all the way up to 70%.

[–] aesthelete@lemmy.world 1 points 20 minutes ago* (last edited 20 minutes ago)

There's a kind of law here that should be named IMO when dealing with LLMs:

In a long enough interaction with an LLM the probability that it generates a very incorrect, borderline insane response approaches 100%.

[–] xthexder@l.sw0.com 1 points 1 hour ago

I think part of the difference is the amount of output being measured. Maybe a single statement has a 10% chance of being wrong, but over the course of a whole response the likelihood of there being an incorrect statement goes up. After only 5 statements at 10% error, that's a 40% chance of being wrong in some way.

I don't have any real numbers, just personal experience using AI for programming at work, and all of these numbers (10%, 40%, 70%) seem plausible depending on exactly what you're measuring.

[–] hanrahan@slrpnk.net 2 points 3 hours ago (1 children)

so..a bit like economists then ?

[–] IratePirate@feddit.org 2 points 3 hours ago

Not if we're talking Jim Cramer, who is well beyond 70%.