this post was submitted on 24 Feb 2024
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Predicting the long-term results of the reddit IPO is tricky, because it involves two large groups of highly irrational actors. 'Tis a silly place.
I speculate (hope) it will go very poorly for them. But anything could happen. They might fail upwards and print money.
Will be interesting to watch.
I'm guessing it'll do pretty well, at least initially. There's got to be a whole lot of investors out there who just want to get in on the new big tech IPO and still jump in. I'm not convinced the WSB crew will really move the dial. Yeah it'd be an amusing and salutary lesson if the IPO shits the bed but I can't see it happening. I'm no expert tho!
They lost about $90M in 2023, seems like a really bad investment. But yeah, it probably will do well, at least for a while, because it's all just gambling and BS.