Welp, I guess I'm all out of money for new tech. Time to travel or find a new hobby.
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I bought a 22tb hdd from serverpartdeals in late December of 2025. Its now $100 more expensive, I'm glad I read the tea leaves in time but this sucks.
Same. Scored two 16TB drives and a 4GB in summer of 2025 (by pure chance though). They're now 150%-200% the original price. Cannot wait to see this bubble pop.
I got a 16TB HDD for 300€, yesterday I looked at it and it was 800€ (apparently discounted from 1000€ lol)
no wonder they need so much power/rare earths. ssds next
SSDs were first, actually, with HDDs now following suit.
Theres a reason we have 256TB SSDs. Consumers dont really need them and they are of limited value vor conventional Datacentres.
shit dude I'll move my storage to S3 and retire on what I can get from my 16tb array and 20tb backup.
I’ve two countem two 500gb HDD by WD, starting price is 2500$. And I’ll throw in external cases for 100$ (the cables are blue meaning usb 3.0 a which are 250$)
so much wrong with this title.
- it's not AI, it's LLM slop bullshit
- it's not the software at guilt here, it's the sacks of shit running those companies who plan such data centers
- blamed? No, those shitheads are totally and absolutely responsible for this clusterfuck.
They've gone so far as to claim responsibility.
You mean brag about it?
It's nice how AI datacenters step by step swallow virtually all available hardware resources to provide digital services to users who won't be able to use those services due to the lack of available hardware.
Hardware will be available, silly. ^†^
You will have the "freedom" ^‡^ to choose from the hardware vendor* you want. Like always! ^‡‡^
^†^ ^For^ ^$49.95^ ^per^ ^month.^
^Terms and conditions and government social score apply.^
^‡‡^ ^Authorized and approved by the department of national security and intelligence gathering agencies and the billionaire technofascist bros clubh^
that's okay they will replace users with AI. it's going to be AI all the way down
I doubt offering AI services to the public is their goal.
You can use them fine. In fact, you'll have to on your new Android phone which has no opt out.
The irony is as they bid up the price of all the hardware, they are probably making their AI platforms more likely to fail due to being more expensive than their value.
We can only hope that their businesses crash hard before any of these deals come to fruition and then when the hardware has nowhere to go we can all "buy the dip" so to speak.
To be clear, I know most of this stuff will be specialized server hardware, but hopefully it all crashing down will help get more people into self-hosting and working on community resources and networks instead of having everything live in the cloud.
I know most of this stuff will be specialized server hardware
it actually won't be, at least not for the hard drives. the prevailing strategy for quite some time now is to just use the cheapest available disks and deal with the failures on the software level. those disks will ultimately fail anyway and the increased price for some super-duper enterprise reliability server disk is not really worth it.
I'm currently hosting everything on old desktop PCs and SBCs but fuck it, I'll swipe some closeout hardware and upgrade to a proper server rack.
Western Digital chief Tiang Yew Tan told analysts "We're pretty much sold out for calendar '26. We have firm purchase orders with our top seven customers."
the dow is 50k and 37% of the market is made up of those seven
freaking financial human centipede
I can't wait for it to crash and burn, this bubble is getting so ridiculous.
These companies are publicly traded...
The people who run/own the AI companies would have been complete idiots to not invest in the hardware companies they were going to make these purchases from before making those purchases.
But 100 million in Seagate stock, then announce you just signed a contract buying up supply.
Your company may overpay, but you personally just made a shit ton of money. Which is the why you want your company to succeed
As a bonus, the news that you're overpaying to buy up all the hard drives, doesn't hurt your company it helps it.
There's no way to monetize it anyways, the product is the stock price. And this move makes the company seem confident, which raises stock price.
That's not even getting into the long term problem that even if AI fails, were seeing a huge migration in computing power from individuals to private corporations. That's a big deal even if AI dies tomorrow. And they have a lot of motivation to never let us get it back.
I get paid on the 27th, I need two more 8TB drives to complete my NAS, my local retailer had 50+ in stock earlier this week, and now the drives are no longer even listed.
Fuck sake...
Go Toshiba. If American companies got us into this mess in the first place, fuck American companies!
I will if I can, as it stands I have four 8TB seagate drives, enough for my actual storage need, but I want to have two parity drives for extra protection.
I am planning on running ZFS with Zraid2, the drives are the final piece of the puzzle to at least get it working.
When I planned the build, I planned to get another controller card and run two SSDs as well, one for cache (I can add that later), and one for VM/App storage, I also planned on getting an Intel GPU for transcoding video, and a 10Gig NIC, mainly just to say I have it, as my network isn't more than normal gigabit.
It is getting more important to complete the build as I need to move my media from single, non raided hard drives in my computer to a well raided server that I can configure for bitrot protection.
That's a much more sophisticated setup than mine! It may even be overkill (depending on what it is you want to host, and to how many).
I've been running two enterprise-grade Toshiba 16TB drives in a btrfs RAID1 since last summer. No SSD for caching (though the OS and my Docker containers run on one, with regular syncs to the slower spinning drives). No complaints so far.
I know it is a bit complex, but after seeing the shenanigans Synology tried to play and reading review about Ugreen NAS units and how they seem to connect to external servers often, I just decided to roll my own TrueNAS build.
I am using an AMD Ryzen 4600G, 32GB of RAM, a 500GB boot SSD, the only mATX board I could find with six SATA ports, the Asus B550m Pro4 and a Corsair SF750 750W PSU to power it all.
Props for the powerful DIY! You're right about the pre-built models. I'm coming from a QNAP one, and while they're good for learning the ropes, they'll become pretty limited after a while. That, and the shit they're trying to pull with proprietary HDDs.
A self-made rig gives you a lot more flexibility, although it requires you to learn a bit more. But seeing that you're already getting comfortable with GFS, I guess you'll manage just fine!
To be perfectly honest, I don't know what GFS is, I have been a Linux sysadmin for a few years, but never came across that.
We used LVM and ext4 for the storage in those VMs
If you've got that experience under your belt, you'll be just fine. I haven't tackled zfs myself yet (I'm lacking the RAM, plus I was put off by the ECC RAM recommendation). But I know it unifies a lot of the things you're already familiar with under one roof (volume management and journaling) and adds more cool features (snapshotting, RAID, encryption, bitrot protection) without you having to combine and manage several different technologies (mdadm for RAID, LVM, LUKS, ...). I did that on my main rig and it turned out to be rather complex. Hence the switch to btrfs to at least squash a bit of complexity.
If you'd rather continue working with the storage technologies you know and avoid zfs, you may want to look into other OSs than TrueNAS (because that is zfs only). Two I'm running and can recommend are
- Open Media Vault: great for beginners (friendly, though dated-looking web UI), but Debian-based underneath and hence reasonably flexible if you know your way around the CLI, which you probably will. Case in point: mine is no longer just used as a NAS, but runs somewhere between 10-20 Docker containers, and I rarely touch the webUI these days.
- Proxmox: You mentioned VMs, so you're probably familiar with this one. I like its flexibility, allowing me to run each VM tailored to its purpose: a NAS VM for network shares, a hardened, minimal VM for publicly available services and Wireguard access into the network, an LXC as a local DNS server...
I bought 2 8TB drives last week and had to check if they were still in stock at the same retailer and they are, but the price have gone up with 23%...
Fuck AI
I recently checked on the price of the used 12TB server drive I bought a couple years ago. It was 80 then. It's 260 now. Same seller.
Bought a 20 TB external for ~$270 a few months ago. It's now $400:
Good idea. I just looked at a drive I bought six months ago and it's up 40% or so. Wish I'd have got two now.
I will absolutely remember the companies that are saying “fuck the consumer” when I go to purchase anything going forward.
Honestly which companies does that leave?
I think it has to be considered by degree of consumer-fucking. Some companies, like Micron, are outright discontinuing their consumer brands while others are 'just' deprioritizing consumers to chase the AI bandwagon.
It's those companies' prerogative to chase profits, but I'll never buy another Micron product again if they ever decide to come crawling back.
Next up, torches and pitchforks will ve sold out. And AI won't exist.
I'm highly suspect this happens at the same time that Microsoft is demanding you upgrade your PCs to run their shitty software. and discontinuing Windows 10
They need to roll that back.
They want us to rent or compute from the clouds so they can watch each and everything we do.
So with all the news on hardware shortages...someone is building skynet..and we just don't know about it.
Less skynet and more a surveillance state thats gonna put England and even CCP to shame.
They need the hard drives because they're storing everything about us. Every time we drive by a camera, gps paths of our cell phones constant travel, every bank transaction including small purchases, every social media comment, page we view from WiFi or cellphone, all our connections to everyone else, tags for various groups.
Not even just the people we know we know, they'll know who's usually next to us in traffic on commutes and when, who makes our sandwich from the deli we go to every other Tuesday, what cops would be most likely to respond to a call to our house at a certain time...
Like, "skynet" is useful because everyone knows the term.
The real danger is what humans will do with access to that much information on everyone, and what a normal human would do to/for a stranger to protect all their darkest secrets.
Imagine if tech was 20 years ahead right now with trump in office, do you think someone like him would hesitate to start wide scale blackmail?
You think they're above telling a couple thousand people in highly targeted districts that they had to vote a certain a way or else?
It's not the AI we need to be scared of, it's the data.
It's extremely unhealthy for a free society, to have too much power imbalance between the ruling classes and the people.