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Hype-fueling science fiction or plausible scenarios? (ai-2027.com)

submitted 2 days ago by teri@discuss.tchncs.de to c/technology@lemmy.world

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Other differentiated opinions wanted:

A friend showed me this and treats it like a prophecy. I'm rather skeptical. To me seems like somebody tries to fuel the AI hype with this text or is completely drunk with AI. It also fuels the China-US who-is-better-fight and the authors thoughts seem to circle too much around the US president, IMO.

But I don't understand much of this machine-learning stuff. So maybe it's me being ignorant. Still, to me reads like science fiction. How about you?

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[–] sugar_in_your_tea@sh.itjust.works 7 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

Exactly.

This is like the Pareto principle (80% of the benefit for 20% of the work), except the end state isn't "general intelligence," it's a chat bot. There's no general intelligence at the end of this road, we'll need a lot more innovation to get there.