this post was submitted on 19 May 2026
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How many AI datacenters will it take to boil the ocean?
Around (4 to 6) * 10^(26 to 27) J total
1 gigawatt is 10^9 J/s (so around 130 billion years to reach the above.) For a terawatt that's 130 million years. For a petawatt 130,000 years. For an exawatt about 130 years....
Note: the sun bathes Earth with around 170,000 TW (0.17 exawatts) of energy. That's about 700-800 years if you could make the oceans sink all that sun energy. Again, this isn't the total output of the Sun but just what impacts Earth directly.
It would probably take more energy than we can harvest on earth, considering the sunlight and geothermal energy doesn't boil it currently.
I could see it affecting the temperature on local scales, such as the area immediately around the data center.
I don't think people mean literally boil the ocean. Just increasing it by few Celsius degrees can be world ending.
That's true, but I still don't think we can raise ocean temperatures through direct cooling and renewable sources the way that the greenhouse effect can. Water can absorb a lot of heat energy without changing temperature, and that is why regions close to oceans have a more temperate climate.
While I don't have enough knowledge in this field to be making any definitive statements, my logic is as follows:
So we would need to get energy from off planet, use nuclear fission/fusion, or cover enough of the land area in wind and solar farms in order to redirect the sun's energy over to the oceans.
I think the bigger concern, when it comes to heating the ocean, is that manufacturing, construction, and transport related to the data centers still releases a lot of greenhouse gases. Those gases trap the sun's energy within our atmosphere and that WILL heat up the earth. Way more than direct cooling using ocean water.
If every data centre was passively cooled in the ocean it wouldn't change temps by even 0.01 degrees. The Sun blasts an entire half of the planet with an absurd amount of energy every day. Energy, which technically originated from the sun, is just converted and being utilized to do work.
There are a number of 6-8GWe nuclear plants that dump 15+GW into the nearby sea (or in the case of Bruce, into Lake Huron). I don't see it being much of an issue. Better than virtually any other cooling option.
The issues are maintenance, energy source, and equipment supply.
The plants on the lakes so monitor the water temp so they don't affect the ecosystem during the warmer seasons still.
But I doubt the one in NB had to worry about that when more water flows by it than all the rivers in the world combined.
But yes, much better source of cooling at the cost of maintenance and equipment. Just like tidal power but with fewer moving parts.
Good point, although on the local scale you mention, wildlife could still be impacted. Hopefully, the overall impact on the ecosystem will be monitored and studied before expanding these data centers more broadly.
Well, if the energy comes from solar on the thingy, then it's probably going to cool the ocean, could be similar with wind.
That's a good point. Maybe not cool, but it would warm the water less.
(I'm guessing solar cells reflect less energy back into space than water, since they're specifically designed not to.)
I don't know how to objectively figure this out, but solar panels only convert energy from radiation down to far infrared of 1100nm. Water can absorb longer wavelengths, but solar output has less and less energy output at these wavelengths. However, the mystery is whether or not the panels themselves absorb or reflect such far infrared energy. I'm torn between "it might be the same" and "I'm wrong"
40...2...ob..viously...