this post was submitted on 07 Feb 2026
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[–] Bakkoda@sh.itjust.works 4 points 7 hours ago

Consumer sales are very very trackable. Off channel bulk sales can be very hard to verify and I'm sure that's not being used to prop up valuation. Not at all.

[–] varjen@lemmy.world 9 points 10 hours ago (2 children)

I see a future where all computing is done in the cloud and home computers are just dumb terminals. An incredibly depressing future. Customers not users is the goal.

[–] Buelldozer@lemmy.today 2 points 6 hours ago

This has been predicted and worked towards since the 90s.

[–] lavander@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2 points 9 hours ago

ChromeOS was exactly mean for that

[–] neclimdul@lemmy.world 25 points 14 hours ago

Kind of makes sense really when you think about it. The vast majority of consumers have had all their wealth eroded over decades to the point no one can buy anything. Better to let the AIs buy everything now.

[–] CosmoNova@lemmy.world 7 points 12 hours ago

Yeah no shit?

[–] brucethemoose@lemmy.world 16 points 15 hours ago* (last edited 15 hours ago)

Also, this has been the case (or at least planned) for a while.

Pascal (the GTX 1000 series) and Ampere (the RTX 3000 series) used the exact same architecture for datacenter/gaming. The big gaming dies were dual use and datacenter-optimized. This habit sort of goes back to ~2008, but Ampere and the A100 is really where "datacenter first" took off.

AMD announced a plan to unify their datacenter/gaming architecture awhile ago, and prioritized the MI300X before that. And EPYC has always been the priority, too.

Intel wanted to do this, but had some roadmap trouble.

These companies have always put datacenter first, it just took this much drama for the consumer segment to largely notice.

[–] dhork@lemmy.world 38 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

This is yet another thing I blame on American Business sacrificing itself on the altar of Shareholder Value. It's no longer acceptable for a public business to simply make a profit. It has to grow that profit, every quarter, without fail.

So, simply having a good consumer product division that makes money won't be enough. At some point some executive will decide that he can't possibly get his bonus if that's all they do, and decide they need to blow it all up to chase larger profits elsewhere.

Maybe we need a small, private company to come along and start making good consumer hardware. They still need components, though, so will have to navigate getting that from public companies who won't return their calls. And even once they are successful, the first thing they will do is cash out and go public, and the cycle starts again.

[–] SoleInvictus@lemmy.blahaj.zone 12 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

Maybe we need a small, private company to come along and start making good consumer hardware.

I've always wanted to start a business like this. "Generic Brand" household goods. Not fancy, just solidly functional base models but with modular upgradability. Wish you bought the WiFi capable washer? Buy the module for $30. Everything would be fully user serviceable and upgradable (within reason), so parts sales ensure sustained income once market saturation is reached.

[–] dhork@lemmy.world 8 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago) (2 children)

It's not totally out of the realm of possibility. Michael Dell did it, after all, but he did it in a different time.

And Dell is actually a good case study for all this. It went public rather quickly after it started growing, but grew a bit stagnant by the 2000's. So much so that 2013, Michael Dell orchestrated a leveraged buyout of his own company (with the help of venture capital) to make it private again. He pretty much admitted that the changes he wanted to make to the company would be impossible while it was still public. It stayed private for a while, but went public again as part of some deal made after it acquired the parent company of VMware.

Another notable thing is that Carl Ichan owned a large chunk of Dell, both in its first public incarnation and in its private incarnation. When Dell tried to take it private, Ichan challenged the plan, and thought about putting in his own bid, only to back off when he decided it wasn't worth the effort to revive the company. Still, he was publicly against Dell's buyout plan but was outvoted by other shareholders. Yet, he must have still held a part of the private company, because Ichan also protested it's second plan to go public, and sued to force Dell to increase its terms to the private holders.

Michael Dell is no saint, but I conclude that he realized that the company meant more than a spreadsheet, and needed a purpose to justify its existence. He also realized that in order to sustain a business over the long term, having to constantly sustain quarterly numbers may be counterproductive. I think Carl Ichan, on the other hand, only cares about Number Go Up, and doesn't care at all about how the company makes that happen. Over the long term, that will never be sustainable, but fuck you all, he got his bag already.

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[–] melfie@lemy.lol 15 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago) (5 children)

I’ve been looking into self-hosting LLMs, and it seems a $10k GPU is kind of a requirement to run a decently-sized model and get reasonable tokens / s rate. There’s CPU and SSD offloading, but I’d imagine it would be frustratingly slow to use. I even find cloud-based AI like GH Copilot to be rather annoyingly slow. Even so, GH Copilot is like $20 a month per user, and I’d be curious what the actual costs are per user considering the hardware and electricity cost.

What we have now is clearly an experimental first generation of the tech, but the industry is building out data centers as though it’s always going to require massive GPUs / NPUs with wicked quantities of VRAM to run these things. If it really will require huge data centers full of expensive hardware where each user prompt requires minutes of compute time on a $10k GPU, then it can’t possibly be profitable to charge a nominal monthly fee to use this tech, but maybe there are optimizations I’m unaware of.

Even so, if the tech does evolve and it become a lot cheaper to host these things, then will all these new data centers still be needed? On the other hand, if the hardware requirements don’t decrease by an order of magnitude, then will it be cost effective to offer LLMs as a service, in which case, I don’t imagine the new data centers will be needed either.

[–] Xenny@lemmy.world 4 points 11 hours ago

Ai failed and now they are doing this to capture the compute market to then make their profit back through unscrupulous means.

[–] hector@lemmy.today 5 points 12 hours ago

As I am told, there is no way these llm's ever make their investments back. It's like Tesla at this point. Whomever is paying the actual money to build this stuff is going to get hosed if they can't offload it onto some other sucker. That ultimate sucker probably being the US taxpayer.

[–] Clam_Cathedral@lemmy.ml 4 points 13 hours ago

Honestly just jump in with whatever hardware you have available and a small 1.5b/7b model. You'll figure out all the difficult uncertainties as you go and try to improve things.

I'm hosting a few lighter models that are somewhat useful and fun without even using a dedicated GPU- just a lot of ram and fast NVMe so the models don't take forever to spin up.

Of course I've got an upgrade path in mind for the hardware and to add a GPU but there are other places I'd rather put the money atm and I do appreciate that it all currently runs on a 250w PSU.

[–] brucethemoose@lemmy.world 11 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 16 hours ago) (3 children)

This is not true. I have a single 3090 + 128GB CPU RAM (which wasn’t so expensive that long ago), and I can run GLM 4.6 350B at 6 tokens/sec, with measurably reasonable quantization quality. I can run sparser models like Stepfun 3.5, GLM Air or Minimax 2.1 much faster, and these are all better than the cheapest API models. I can batch Kimi Linear, Seed-OSS, Qwen3, and all sorts of models without any offloading for tons of speed.


…It’s not trivial to set up though. It’s definitely not turnkey. That’s the issue.

You can’t just do “ollama run” and expect good performance, as the local LLM scene is finicky and highly experimental. You have to compile forks and PRs, learn about sampling and chat formatting, perplexity and KL divergence, about quantization and MoEs and benchmarking. Everything is moving too fast, and is too performance sensitive, to make it that easy, unfortunately.

EDIT:

And if I were trying to get local LLMs setup today, for a lot of usage, I’d probably buy an AI Max 395 motherboard instead of a GPU. They aren’t horrendously priced, and they don’t slurp power like a 3090. 96GB VRAM is the perfect size for all those ~250B MoEs.

But if you go AMD, take all the finickiness for an Nvidia setup and multiply it by 10. You better know your way around pip and Linux, as if you don’t get it exactly right, performance will be horrendous, and many setups just won’t work anyway.

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[–] Analog@lemmy.ml 5 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

Can run decent size models with one of these: https://store.minisforum.com/products/minisforum-ms-s1-max-mini-pc

For $1k more you can have the same thing from nvidia in their dgx spark. You can use high speed fabric to connect two of ‘em and run 405b parameter models, or so they claim.

Point being that’s some pretty big models in the 3-4k range, and massive models for less than 10k. The nvidia one supports comfyui so I assume it supports cuda.

It ain’t cheap and AI has soooo many negatives, but… it does have some positives and local LLMs mitigate some of the minuses, so I hope this helps!

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[–] SnotFlickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone 178 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (5 children)

Part of this has been a long-standing move by every industry to prioritize business-to-business sales as opposed to consumer sales simply because businesses have money and consumers don't, because businesses are pocketing all the profits and refusing to pay their employees (consumers) a living wage, let alone a thriving wage.

It's been a long time coming for the PC industry, because it's been a general trend for at least two decades as sales to business have become more profitable over consumer sales ever since the late 90s.

It's just more evidence that the bottom 90% of earners are just being priced out of anything but bare subsistence and the wealthy do not give a single fuck about it, in fact, they're embracing it.

[–] CosmoNova@lemmy.world 3 points 12 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago) (1 children)

The whole economy reminds me more and more of the decline of the Roman Empire. Their biggest problem was that there were no consumers left to keep money in circulation and the economy afloat. You either owned lots of land and slaves that provided pretty much everything you need or you were a slave, meaning the only one you could trade with were merchants from outside the empire but as the empire expanded, those became harder to reach. War expenses spiraled out of control while the economy declined until it ceased to exist.

Now mega corps only trade with each other and threaten to replace all workers with AI and robots. Meanwhile the economy becomes stale, people buy less while politicians around the globe cut down the social sector, meaning people will have even less money to spare. Money won‘t circulate as much, slowing things down even further.

There are ways out of this spiral of decline but billionaires won‘t give up so easily. You can say many things about them but they are persistent as hell.

[–] SnotFlickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone 2 points 12 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago) (1 children)

You can say many things about them but they are persistent as hell.

That persistence is a type of sociopathy, though. It's an antisocial personality disorder. Sure, they're persistent, but they're persistent at pursuing absolutely terrible things for personal gain that effectively means nothing considering they already have enough power and money to make Solomon blush. It's a mental disorder where they need more and more and more while they have more than they could ever use in their entire lifetimes and in their grandchildren's their grandchildren's lifetimes.

So even that is honestly a negative thing, there's literally not a positive thing you can say about them, because everything they do is couched in being the most selfish, proud (for no good reason), and narcissistic fuckers alive.

[–] CosmoNova@lemmy.world 3 points 6 hours ago

Oh I never ever intended to imply it‘s a good thing. It just is. They won‘t give in or can be reasoned with. They became billionaires because they care about money, status and power.

[–] nforminvasion@lemmy.world 9 points 17 hours ago (1 children)

I am so glad to see someone else talking about this. Yeah, We're going back to feudalism... And only the upper ranks of society will be able to afford goods and be able to engage in trade.

[–] SnotFlickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone 6 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 16 hours ago)

I mean, it's very arguable that we've just been doing "feudalism with extra steps" for a very long time anyway.

To be less US/Europe-centric than my original post, the majority of the world has been in the "priced out of anything but bare subsistence" basket for most of the history of modern capitalism. Only the citizens of the Imperial Democracies of the Western world were benefiting while the majority of the Southern and Eastern hemispheres were simply locked out from being beneficiaries either through trade embargoes or outright exploitation via not paying foreign workers the home-country equivalent, and instead paying them a much lower "localized" rate.

It's really that the Imperial Boomerang has finally made it's way home to the citizens of the West.

[–] antonim@lemmy.dbzer0.com 57 points 23 hours ago (3 children)

This is an important point in general. The old story of "voting with your wallet" is now more and more obviously mathematically absurd.

[–] nforminvasion@lemmy.world 8 points 17 hours ago (1 children)

Top 10% owns 93% of stocks and accounted for 55% of market activity in early 2025, before tariffs and mass layoffs and an unnamed recession. They're probably at 60 -65% of revenue now. You're absolutely right. The rich have been working to remove us from the equation for decades. In our buying power, and in our labor power with AI.

[–] SnotFlickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone 5 points 16 hours ago* (last edited 16 hours ago) (2 children)

and in our labor power with AI.

Let's be real though, this is less about actually replacing workers with AI that is often completely wrong because it's not actually "thinking" and doesn't actually know what it is doing. It's much more about using the specter of AI and over-hyped arguments about what it could do, given time, to justify workforce reductions and pay reductions.

It has far less to do with actually replacing workers with AI and far more to do with justifying worse working conditions and worse pay without as much social fuss over why.

AI has some very useful tightly-specific niche applications, but "general purpose AI" is a joke that isn't going anywhere realistic at the moment. Especially if we have to burn down our planet burning up fossil fuels to power software that is only doing a best guess of what the next string of text should be.

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[–] realitista@lemmus.org 41 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

You can only vote with your wallet if there's something in it.

[–] tomiant@piefed.social 16 points 16 hours ago (1 children)

Which is exactly why conservatives want to push that line of ideology, because in a democratic society we all have equal say, but under capitalism the landowning aristocrat class become de facto lords and kings. Which is exactly what we are seeing happening right now.

It's the same bullshit they say about wanting "small government"- no, they want no government, not a democratic one at least, because that is the only thing keeping them from wielding their capital as a political tool, something it is already feebly equipped to do because of the power inherent in capital and unregulated ownership. Low taxes- same thing; high taxes are an equalizer that aims to create benefit for all of society together, low taxes, as conservatives always want, mean proportionally more for those who are already most well off.

On a long enough timeline, capitalism will always and causally turn into a form of feudalism. Shit, it IS feudalism, with extra steps.

[–] CheeseNoodle@lemmy.world 8 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

Happening? don't you mean happened? Most top politicans come from the same familys and schools and have done for significantly longer than I've been alive.

[–] tomiant@piefed.social 5 points 13 hours ago

We are feeling the brute force of what you are saying right now on a scale previously not seen. Of course this has been a generational play, that lies at the core of feudalism and patriarchal rule- inheritance of wealth.

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[–] tomiant@piefed.social 7 points 16 hours ago

Yet another lie of capitalism- that demand dictates supply. If people want something, capitalism will solve the problem because greed will solve every problem, right? WRONG. It doesn't take into consideration that scale and logistics and infrastructure and mass production all collude and interact in ways that can and will easily create isolated and unexpected functional consequences just like this one.

Capitalism itself is such a dumb and evil creation that the only thing that keeps it running is to have laws that limit its destructive power- unfortunately, since money is power, capitalism quickly supersedes rule of law and democracy, creating a system of government where feudal lords rule over what basically amounts to serfdom. Surely a more comfortable serfdom than in the 1300's, but most certainly lacking the basic freedoms of a democratic society, and only so long as the lords so wish and comfort isn't taken away at their whims due to opposition or otherwise.

Fuck this shit.

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Imma remember what Curcial and others are doing, so when the AI bubble pops I'll skip on all their products.

[–] UnspecificGravity@piefed.social 75 points 1 day ago (6 children)

I'm looking forward to cheap Chinese video cards that out perform Nvidia shit for 1/4 the price.

[–] Lfrith@lemmy.ca 47 points 1 day ago (17 children)

Hopefully Linux supported. That's the main selling point of AMD GPUs right now for me, since there's less problems with trying to get stuff like HDR running on it than NVIDIA.

I wonder why China is still for the most part ignoring Linux in favor of Windows. Like to update 8bitdo controllers they only provide a Microsoft program and no Linux version.

You'd think they'd be rushing towards pushing Linux adoption.

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[–] Ilixtze@lemmy.ml 82 points 1 day ago (23 children)

AMERICAN manufacturers, just waint until the Chinese industries swoop in to fill the gap. I seriously feel America just wants to kneecap itself.

[–] boogiebored@lemmy.world 15 points 22 hours ago (1 children)

“banned for security concerns”

[–] Ilixtze@lemmy.ml 3 points 15 hours ago

Not a problem for me; I'm not in America, I own a Huawei phone and a Huion Tablet.

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