I wouldn't buy a Tesla even if Elon wasn't a Nazi and a Zionist.
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I can barely see how they were so popular up to now anyway. I, too, thought they were cool like 10 years ago, when they were the only real electric car (Leaf and I-Miev don't count and we didn't get the Bolt or Volt here, only Opel Ampera and Ampera-E, which are ultra rare). Then a couple of years later, I realized some things, in this order: 1) Tesla interiors are THE BLANDEST THING EVER, 2) Elon Musk's been seeming increasingly weird starting with the cave diving incident, 3) Tesla quality control is absolute shite
Tesla changed the world by proving you CAN have good range and performance in an EV, but now they're way past their prime. The Germans, Swedes, Koreans and now I believe EVEN THE CHINESE make better EVs. I have no experience with non-Tesla American EVs to comment on those, but I wouldn't be surprised if they surpass Tesla in overall quality of vehicle in a few years too.
Net profits $2.3B. "Poor financial results". How does one reconcile these two things?
But yeah, I live in a country that has had about 0% growth since 2008 :-| Perhaps this is bad news for you rich yankees.
Also note that the automotive industry seems to be pretty much flatlining for the last 5 years or so: https://www.vettafi.com/indexing/index/autos -- so Tesla is not doing particurarily badly in the large picture.
Net profits $2.3B. "Poor financial results". How does one reconcile these two things?
That's 2.3B USD on a 1.29T USD valuation, or 0.17%.
Valuations should be reflective of expected future profits. Multiples of ×20 yearly profit are possible for risky (tech or biotech usually) companies, with large potential profit. But the ratio is ridiculously off the charts for tesla. If it does not improve, it will have turned out to have been a very wastefull use of capital.
The issue is the price to earnings ratio of the Tesla stock which is almost 200:1.
The level of profit is not bad for a normally price company but Telsa needs to have profits grow exponentially to justify their stock price.
It used to be double that, so I can see why people see it as a bad thing. But I also don’t think 7.1B profits qualifies as “poor financial results”, even if it used to be higher.
pop?
If any other company dropped net profits by 71% they’d be firing their CEOs (well giving them a golden parachute to gtfo) and having some major shake ups.
The CEO is too busy playing social media edgelord. I guess when you blow up a company to the point where it will pop, you have to go into politics to change the laws to make it more profitable.
https://fortune.com/2025/01/29/tesla-shares-rally-2025-earnings-growth/
Tesla shares rally on pledge to return to growth in 2025
Continuing the bullshit from 2022, where Musk promised a typical year would have growth of 50!!
Tesla plans to launch its autonomous ride-hailing service in Austin in June
Hows that going Elron?
“This is not some far off mythical situation,” Musk said on the company’s call with analysts. “It’s literally five months away.”
So it's been LITERALLY running for more than a half year now? Or is it still a no show, like the 7 previous years FSD should have been here?
We can do this TODAY.
He has said that so many times, on so many things, and it's always a lie. FSD, Convoys of trucks that are cheaper than trains! Tesla being able to park. which it still can't do reliably. And this is the very beginning of the claim that a Tesla can drive across the country (USA) to pick you up!
Did ANYONE believe his bullshit ever, do people believe he will build a manned base on Mars eventually? A base that should have been up and running I think it was 2022!!!
How is this man not in jail?
Oh right, probably much the same way Trump is not in jail. USA is an oligarchy moving towards a fascist dictatorship!!
tessla plans to launch it's autonomous ride hailing service
Autonomous driving, like he's promised he already had every year for over a decade now.
Who does anyone believe this scammer? He is a con man, always had been, and I'm just amazed at the enormous amount of idiots believing his shit
So more than a third of their net profits come from selling credits they received from the government? Am I understanding that correctly?
They are emissions credits. Every company receives some amount of "CO2 emission credits" from the government. These allow you to emit a certain amount of carbon dioxide. If you don't emit all the CO2 that your credits allow, you can sell those credits to other companies that need more than the government gives them.
The idea is to put a total limit on the amount of emissions in the country, while letting the market figure out where it makes most sense economically to invest in emission reduction.
Tesla makes only EV cars and so it doesn't need all the credits a typical gasoline car company would receive. So they sell them.
"Tesla makes only EV cars and so it doesn't need all the credits a typical gasoline car company would receive. So they sell them."
Which means the system isn't working. Surplus credits should come from improved efficiencies, not excessive allotment.
Yes you are understanding that correctly. For producing EVs, they get credits from the federal government. I don't know the exchange rate -- e.g., how many EVs per credit.
Then, Tesla turns around and sells these credits to buyers, usually other companies. Companies buy these credits from Tesla to comply with regulations requiring certain environmental outcomes, and credits count towards these outcomes.
In theory this type of program incentivizes and rewards companies who invest in the technology(is) tied to these credits, in this case EVs. In practice it's a way for other companies to comply with renewables regulations without actually doing anything to meaningfully reduce their impact and footprint (other than buying credits)
So it's a government subsidy at no cost to the government, funded instead by other companies? That's actually quite a neat idea.
I guess the issues arise if Tesla just pockets the subsidy without passing on the savings to savings to people buying EVs
You are. Without the EV credits, Tesla would have folded years ago.
It's not EV credits it's "cap and trade" carbon credits that they're selling.
I’m aware. The collateral for the credits are EV sales, hence my shorthand.
Value investing is basically dead, isn't it? Am I crazy? How can you objectively evaluate a company's value, notice it is undervalued, and then trade accordingly when price action does not even slightly track the company's value?
I wondered that a while ago when Tesla was worth more than many other car makers combined while producing far less vehicles than any single one of them. And I remember people telling me about projections and expectations and that it’s only a matter of time until everyone drives a Tesla basically. Sounded like mass hysteria to me back then because the rest of the world won’t just sit there quietly and let Tesla have a monopoly. People bought shares because they rose rapidly in value, causing even more people to buy shares. It’s a pyramid scheme like so many things these days and people have no problem with it apparently. They love gambling and playing lottery. Value investing is too boring for them.
It's gambling
The investors are banking on Elon looting the Govt coffers into Tesla. I can’t deny the chances based on the other crap we are seeing.
Exclusive contracts at 20% mark up. Can’t wait for all police vehicles to switch over to teslas.
I'd support that: the new excuses as to why a suspect escaped would be fantastic.
"Well, I would have caught him but my car died for some reason and I couldn't get out."
"Well, I would have caught him but I hit a bump and half my car fell off."
"Well, I would have caught him, but my car caught fire and killed my partner."
"Well, I would haved caught him but it was raining so my bumper fell off and punctured my tire."
True enough. A bet on any tech stocks right now is probably safe on that basis - but I expect they really do plan to crash the stock market at some point... It would make sense if you wanted to consolidate ownership cheaply.
That’s not new to Tesla. Avoid bubble stocks. Avoid penny stocks. Buy “stodgy”
I'm not into Tesla stock. I'm not just here to whine about a single stock not doing what I want, it's that I think price action in general is too irrational. I've got an axe to grind here and it goes beyond which stocks to pick.
Huge ETFs and algorithmic trading makes too many tickers move all the same way. This harms price discovery. And don't get me started on off-exchange trading; This month, off-exchange volume exceeded that of lit markets.
Value investing isn't dead. There are tons of value investors, and they aren't the ones buying Tesla.
My point is, if this is how markets react to worsening sales and an actually insane CEO how can you trust a rational bet to pay off?
Value investors don't invest in Tesla, so you should not expect its share price to reflect fundamentals.
But they do invest in stocks like Coca Cola and American Express, so you should expect the share prices of those companies to better reflect fundamentals.
several key points highlighted
Lists nearly a dozen items 🤣
Expensive luxury cars for rich people with over 30 thousand subsidy, and they will still lose money. Credits is the new Bitcoin.
Good.
That’s ok, I’m sure a big government bailout is on the horizon for JUST the struggling, American EV auto maker, because their CEO sucked the president’s dick the best.
Neat.
Net Profits: Dropped by 71% to $2.3 billion in Q4 2024.
Since when 2.4 billion net profit is terrible?
"Yes, we earned billions but it's actually less than the year before!" Dude, go out and touch some grass...
It's terrible for the stock price which has a price to earnings ratio of almost 200.
If this were a normal company with a profit margin of ~6% and a normal stock price (in line with the market average), it would be fine.
Since when 2.4 billion net profit is terrible?
Since Musk claimed in 2022 that a 50% growth per year would be normal for Tesla. And people are stupid enough to partially believe him. In January 2024 Musk promised 2024 would be a HUGE growth year, with autonomous RoboTaxi being launched in June. He claimed it’s LITERALLY only 5 months away!!!
https://fortune.com/2025/01/29/tesla-shares-rally-2025-earnings-growth/
Tesla Inc. revealed plans to begin robotaxi operations and forecast a sales recovery this year, fueling what Elon Musk predicted would be an “epic” period of growth for the electric vehicle maker.
Nothing he claimed or promised has come true. Quite the opposite.
"Terrible" is just for attention, but the bit of news that would have cratered any other company's stock it that it's down 71% YOY. Plus:
Regulatory Credits: $2.8 billion of profit came from selling regulatory credits, not from core business activities.
People in the current administration have said they plan to end these credits in the coming months. Without them in 2024 Tesla would have reported a $500million loss for the year.
You misread the sheet slightly. The total profit for the year was $7.1 billion, of which $2.8 billion was renewable energy credits. I.e. their profit would have only been $4.3 billion.
71% drop in a single quarter is time for workers to start looking for other jobs bad. This was way before Elon's Nazi salute so expect things to get way worse. I'd be so embarrassed if I drove a Tesla.
You just glossed right over the "dropped by 71%" bit...since when is that not terrible? That's an incredible decrease in profits over the course of just 12 months.